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| | From the year of the greatest declination of the moon and the disaster chain of typhoon and earthquake,the prediction of the Jiujiang earthquake(M_S5.7) on November 26 of 2005 is discussed.It is one of indices for predicting earthquake by disaster chain.The vertical component of tidal force during the year of greatest declination of the moon has trigger effect on the earthquake occurrence in Jiujiang-Macheng region.Typhoon penetrating to inner mainland of China and migrating toward the Jiujiang region means... | | 从月亮赤纬最大年和台风地震灾害链讨论了2005年九江5.7级地震的预测问题。这是灾害链预测地震的指标之一。月亮赤纬最大年垂向引潮力对九江地区的地震有触发作用。台风向内陆深入并奔向九江地区,这可能是震前大范围地下放出热气形成的低压对台风的吸引。上述两因素的重合对预测地震的地区是有用的,考虑到九江地区和附近麻城地区曾发生过5级和6级地震,这对预测九江地区地震的震级是个参考。 | | 文摘来源 | | Earthquake disaster prevention and reduction of energy supply systems is an important topic of earthquake prevention and disaster reduction.In this paper,through analysis and summary of the characteristic of former energy supply system earthquake disaster,the disaster chain theory is proposed to study the earthquake disaster question.The forming process and mechanism of the earthquake disaster chain are researched,and the schematic drawing of earthquake disaster chain for petrochemical system is given.Final... | | 预防和减轻能源供应系统的地震灾害危险性是防震减灾中的重要课题。通过对以往能源供应系统地震灾害特点的分析和总结,提出用灾害链理论来研究系统的地震灾害问题。研究了能源供应系统中的石化系统在遭遇破坏性地震作用时,地震灾害链的形成过程及形成机理,并给出了石化系统地震灾害链示意图,最后论述了灾害链的切断与控制方法,为防震减灾研究提供了新的思路和方法。 | | 文摘来源 | | Predictions for severe earthquake and earthquake disaster chain are frontiers of earth science in the world.This paper introduces the time-space order of severe earthquake disaster chain,information-ordered network structure and forecasting approach through a lot of domestic and foreign examples. | | 重大地震与地震灾害链预测是当今世界地学前缘课题.本文通过国内外具体实例,重点介绍了重大地震灾害链的时空有序性、地震灾害链网络结构及其预测方法. | | 文摘来源 | |   |
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