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The solution is performed by the numerical methods of optimal control on the basis of a dynamic model of the development of an infection in the organism of a human being.
      
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In the next century,knowledge economy will be the main form of economy in the globe, and the knowledge capital will become the center of management In this new situation, the human capital, being the core of the knowledge capital, has witnessed some new characteristics According to these new characteristics, this paper proposes a new model of the development of human capital based on the principle of “self Training” Also, the three stages, principle, and methods of this development are discussed in detail...

In the next century,knowledge economy will be the main form of economy in the globe, and the knowledge capital will become the center of management In this new situation, the human capital, being the core of the knowledge capital, has witnessed some new characteristics According to these new characteristics, this paper proposes a new model of the development of human capital based on the principle of “self Training” Also, the three stages, principle, and methods of this development are discussed in detail

进入 2 1世纪 ,知识经济将成为全球占统治地位的经济形态 ,知识资本成为企业的经营中心。作为知识资本的核心——人力资本 ,在新的形势下出现了一些新的特点。针对这些新特点 ,本文提出了以“自我培训”为基础的新型人力资本开发模型 ,并对其开发过程的三个阶段、开发的原则和方法进行了详细的阐述

Genuine saving is one of the most important index in identifying the social economical sustain-

真实储蓄是判断社会经济可持续发展趋势的重要指标。本文在Hamilton1994年开发的模型基础上,提出利用真实储蓄进行可持续发展态势判断的全局判据和局部判据,并以广州市为案例,估算了各年的真实储蓄,对其可持续发展态势进行了判断。

Empirical analysis demonstrates it is effective to a certain degree for current credit measurement models to forecast credit loss of banking loans in China,and most forecast outcomes are more than actual value,but the outcomes are very distinct with different models,and they can not effectively forecast credit risk loss of single loan.Based on further research on enterprises default essence, the paper establishes an analytic model.Empirical analysis and mode comparative analysis demonstrate the model is obviously...

Empirical analysis demonstrates it is effective to a certain degree for current credit measurement models to forecast credit loss of banking loans in China,and most forecast outcomes are more than actual value,but the outcomes are very distinct with different models,and they can not effectively forecast credit risk loss of single loan.Based on further research on enterprises default essence, the paper establishes an analytic model.Empirical analysis and mode comparative analysis demonstrate the model is obviously superior to other models developed by the west countries.The model does not need lots of historical credit data,which has better applicability to Chinese business banks that lack long-term credit data,and the model fully satisfies the requirement of the advanced inner rating approach,which reveals its strong superiority.

实证分析表明,现代信用风险度量模型对我国银行贷款组合信用风险度量有一定的效果,大多数测算的结果大于实际值,不同模型预测结果相差也较大,而且不能对单笔贷款的损失进行有效预测.在深入研究企业违约本质的基础上,建立了一个解析式的新模型,实证检验和范式比较分析说明了新模型预测的效果要明显优于西方国家开发的模型,并且不需要大量的历史信贷统计数据,更适合于缺乏长期历史信贷数据的我国商业银行,也完全满足高级内部评级法的要求,显示出强大的优越性.

 
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