It deduced the inequality formula between a prior information credibility and sample size, which proposed a theoretic criterion for finding the guarantee lower limit of a prior information credibility in the case of given small sample size.
After the course of design, system establishment and field debugging, this system has come into the using stage. The system runs in the state of stabilization, credibility, high efficiency and good function.
The results from the simulation show that the model runs stably and reliably,which validates its modular system of algorithms. The analytical objective of the model is achieved with high credibility,thereby providing a new method for the investigation of military aircraft availability.
A comparison between two kinds of BMS based on different credibility
The paper develops a design of optimal Bonus-Malus System (BMS) based on exact equitable credibility, in which the relative error function is taken as loss function.
The theoretical result is consistent with available measurement, which indicates the credibility of this theory and the potential energy surface.
To evaluate the effectiveness and credibility of the new method, comparison study of this map with the existing national maps has been performed, which implies that it is considerably valuable to apply this method to practical use.
In order to minimize the total transportation cost, chance-constrained programming model is designed for the problem based on the credibility measure and then tabu search algorithm based on the fuzzy simulation is designed to solve the model.