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| | Cointegration test and error correction model are applied on the annual national economic statistic data from 1979 to 2003 of China to analyze the long and steady dynamic equilibrium relations and short-term fluctuation relations between economic fluctuation and consumption,investment,and import and export of China.Research results indicate that consumption and investment are two main strengths affecting economic fluctuation of China,while the interactions between business fluctuatio... | | 根据协整检验和误差修正模型,利用我国1979~2003年的年度国民经济统计数据,分析了我国经济波动与消费、投资及进出口之间长期稳定的动态均衡关系和短期的波动关系。研究结果表明,消费和投资是影响我国经济波动的两大主要力量,进口和出口对我国经济波动的影响不大,净出口对我国经济波动的影响不明显。 | | 文摘来源 | | >=By principally using theory and method of cointegration test and Granger causality test which has been developed abroad in the recent decade, this paper discuses the dynamic equilibrium relations between local government R&D expenditure and economic growth in Shanghai. Directing against the results of cointegration analysis, several suggestions are offered and some measures are proposed. | | 本文根据时间序列动态均衡关系分析方法,通过上海1985-2001年地方财政科技投入与经济增长的有关数据变量进行协整分析与因果关系检验,并建立了相应的误差修正模型,揭示了上海地方财政科技投入与经济增长的动态均衡关系。 | | 文摘来源 | |   |
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