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粮食消费量
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  grain consumption
    This paper gives the general method of continuous and disperse fuzzy inference forecast, and makes a forecast for per capita grain consumption of Chinese residents using the method of continuous fuzzy inference forecast.
    给出了连续论域和离散论域模糊推理预测的一般性方法,并应用连续论域模糊推理预测方法,对中国居民的人均粮食消费量进行预测。
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    Time series forecasting models of total food-grain consumption in China were selected by using SPSS, and were built based on the correlative relationship between quantity of consumption and time.
    利用粮食消费量与时间之间的相关关系 ,采用SPSS程序包进行筛选 ,建立我国食用粮食消费总量的时序预测模型。
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  grain consumption
The present paper reviews current evidence on the effects of dietary factors, such as moderate alcohol consumption, whole grain consumption, fish intake and omega-3 fatty acids, vitamins, and minerals, on the development of HF.
      
The per capita grain consumption in one third of China's main grain-producing counties has fallen below 400 kg; most of these areas are located in southern China.
      
As population and grain demand unceasingly increase, the potential of grain production, and the commodity grain provided for the nation are the major problems about grain consumption and distribution in the future.
      
feed grain consumption was reduced to a much greater extent than exports.
      
Because local grain consumption depends greatly on compensation awarded by the project, the potential for sustainability of the project is compromised.
      
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This paper gives the general method of continuous and disperse fuzzy inference forecast, and makes a forecast for per capita grain consumption of Chinese residents using the method of continuous fuzzy inference forecast.

给出了连续论域和离散论域模糊推理预测的一般性方法,并应用连续论域模糊推理预测方法,对中国居民的人均粮食消费量进行预测。

Forecasting of grain consumption is important theoretical foundation for arranging grain production,adjusting grain plant structure,making strategy of grain security and agricultural sustainable development.Time series forecasting models of total food-grain consumption in China were selected by using SPSS, and were built based on the correlative relationship between quantity of consumption and time. Research results and statistical indexes indicated that the construction of forecasting models are successful,...

Forecasting of grain consumption is important theoretical foundation for arranging grain production,adjusting grain plant structure,making strategy of grain security and agricultural sustainable development.Time series forecasting models of total food-grain consumption in China were selected by using SPSS, and were built based on the correlative relationship between quantity of consumption and time. Research results and statistical indexes indicated that the construction of forecasting models are successful, and the forecasting within the data obtained is relatively precise ;however,much depends on the influence of many external factors such as growth rate of population,grain output, per capita consumption etc, as well as test of the time and reality.

粮食消费预测是安排粮食生产、调整粮食种植结构、制定粮食安全和农业可持续发展战略的重要理论依据。利用粮食消费量与时间之间的相关关系 ,采用SPSS程序包进行筛选 ,建立我国食用粮食消费总量的时序预测模型。研究结果表明 ,所建立的三个时序预测模型的拟合度等统计指标高度显著 ,运用所建模型对所获资料进行的内推预测比较准确 ,但外推预测结果因影响因素多 ,其准确性有待时间和实际的检验

The greatest deficiency of the FAO methods and its amendments lie in its failure to evaluating the state grain reserve scale from its function of balancing the supply and demand in the market.By adopting 5-step calculating method,the author enumerates the revised grain consumption data between 1983 and 2004;besides, he also estimates the state grain reserve scale under four circumstances.

FAO方法及其修正法的最大缺陷是没有从平衡市场供求的职能出发估算国家粮食储备规模,笔者采用五步计算法,给出了1983~2004年间修正的粮食消费量数列,并分四种情况估算了国家粮食储备规模。

 
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